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  • The Ethical Actuary—a Tautology: Never let it Become an Oxymoron!
    financial calculations. Our motto has long been Ruskin’s famous quote that “The work of science is to substitute ... discuss some of the latter cases in this article. Let’s start with a very simple example. Assume that model ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Aug 2021
    • Competency: Communication; Professional Values
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession; Modeling & Statistical Methods
  • Actuaries: Do We Know Our Limits?
    so we put in a link to it. http://dl.dropbox.com/u/52684680/2020%20Hindsight.pdf Scott plans to make ... abilities and limits. How well can you predict U.S. unemployment? There is an iPad 2 in store for the ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Jan 2012
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • When Algebra Gets Chaotic
    mate? In modeling, we make assumptions about mortality, morbidity, investment returns, tax rates, etc ... tragedy of 9/11. Are we all independent from a mortality perspective; or does our complex network of interrelationships ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Jan 2012
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
  • Standing Room Only! Complexity Grows at Annual Meeting
    Standing Room Only! Complexity Grows at Annual Meeting Discusses the three complexity science ... ity science (at the Annual Meeting 2010, Life & Annuity Symposium 2011 and Health Meeting 2011, plus some ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Jan 2012
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Economics>Behavioral economics; Finance & Investments>Asset liability management; Modeling & Statistical Methods
  • Complexity Sciences—Simplified!
    Complexity Sciences—Simplified! The author discusses the two-part presentation on complexity ... them. We were asked to repeat them at the Life & Annuity Symposium in New Orleans, May 16–17, and at the ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Jul 2011
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
  • Complexity Sciences - Simplified!
    Complexity Sciences - Simplified! Provides a simplified explanation of the modeling and statistical ... been asked to repeat them at the 2011 Life and Annuity Symposium in New Orleans, May 16–17 and at the ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: May 2011
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Actuary of the Future
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession>Professional development; Modeling & Statistical Methods